Before you get too far into reading this week’s post, there is NOT a podcast attached for this week.
I know, I know, the 20-30 of you who listen consistently to the special editions might be upset but life showed up and I had to reschedule with this week’s intended guest, but I promise we’ll be back next week to break down Week 10.
They say “Consistency breeds Confidence/Success/Mastery/(insert a positive synonym) but I feel that you could probably end it at “Consistency breeds…”. Why? Because the act of breeding feels great and breeding leads to replicating and replicating = making more, yada yada…
Sorry, that took a weird turn, but you get where I was going. Staying consistent is what makes people eventually break through and even though things didn’t quite fall into place for this week, I’m still going to put out some content. Even if it’s in written form because I too get tired of hearing me say “umm” during those first couple of weeks with no one to interact with.
^Utah DB (Week 8 picks) vs. JuJu Smith (Reality)
My gut said go heavy on the underdogs and be slick. My gut is connected to my asshole and we all know what comes out of there.
This week leaves much to be desired in terms of high profile matchups unless you’re into Notre Dame at Temple (see below). Otherwise we’re loaded with conference show downs and I’ve picked 4 to cover, so lets get to it.
West Virginia (+14.5) at TCU
This game is loaded with a whole lotta offense and a not a whole lotta defense. WV comes in after a bye week and 3 consecutive losses, albeit to 3 ranked teams. This has the potential to be a complete shoot out and who ever has the ball last wins. Things are no different this year, TCU is the better team overall, but has played a weaker schedule and has had trouble putting away (read stopping) anyone with a decent offense. With an O/U at 75, Vegas projects a high scoring game and I agree, but 14.5 points is too many for TCU to cover. Upset watch on Thursday night.
Georgia vs Florida (-3)
2 week’s ago, CFS guest Patrick picked this game to be a trap for UF if they beat LSU. The Gators lost, but this was before Will Grier was suspended and the Gators offense was rolling. Treon Harris did better than expected against the Bayou Bengals but couldn’t move the ball on the final drive to give UF a chance. Both UGA and UF were on bye’s last week, so expect this to be low scoring in the 1st half due to film study paying off. The Bulldogs aren’t the same team without Nick Chubb and this matchup gives Coach Mac an opportunity to gets his 3rd signature W of the year and hold a firm grip on the SEC East. Every time I’ve picked against UF, I’ve been burned. Gimme the Gators on their quest to return as the top team in the state of Florida.
Southern California (-6) vs. California
Was Utah over rated or is USC another example of an interim coach getting everything out of his players? ICYMI Interim coaches are all the rage and in Week 9, Clay Helton will have the Trojans building upon the confidence the gained last week. California started the year off hot but are coming off back-to-back conference losses and need this game to keep the hope of winning the Pac-12 North. USC is playing with an edge, a chip on their shoulder, and little reckless abandon which makes for a dangerous team. Statistically this is a nearly even matchup but I’m rolling with the interim coaching theme and higher caliber athletes the Trojans bring to the table. USC by double digits.
Notre Dame (-10.5) at Temple
Just writing that as a game to break down is a tad disappointing. It’s kinda like the plot to Rudy but without the lisp. No one is giving the Owls a real chance, but a top 25 matchup in front of a national audience, on prime time against one of the most storied football programs/Playoff hopefuls, has all the makings of an upset. But the Irish are a much, much better team and have played top notch competition with only a failed 2pt conversion keeping them from being ranked as a top 3 team (ESPN loves them as much as the idea of a Tebow/Brady Step Brothers remake). I’ve previously proclaimed Notre Dame as my zombie team of a squad winning with their backups and playing on Halloween it fits the bill even better. This might actually be close at halftime but the Irish pull away in the 3rd and cover the 10.5 spread, no matter what my gut truly wants.
Playoff Projections: Week 9 (in no order)
Heisman Race: Leonard Fournette, Trevone Boykin, Derrick Henry, Dalvin Cook, Deshaun Watson
The rest of the picks
|Illinois at Penn State (-4.5)||Penn St -4.5||Penn St 39-0|
|Ole Miss (-7.5) at Auburn||Ole Miss -7.5||Ole Miss 27-19|
|USC (-6) at California||USC -6||USC 27-21|
|Oklahoma St (-3) at Texas Tech||Texas Tech +3||Oklahoma St 70-53|
|Georgia vs. Florida (-3)||Florida -3||Florida 27-3|
|San Diego St (-3.5) at Colorado St||CSU +3.5||San Diego St 41-17|
|Texas (-6.5) at Iowa St||Iowa St +6.5||Iowa St 24-0|
|Tennessee (-9) at Kentucky||Kentucky +9||Tennessee 52-21|
|Notre Dame (-10.5) at Temple||Notre Dame -10.5||Notre Dame 24-20|
|Stanford (-10.5) at Washington St||WSU +10.5||Stanford 30-28|
|West Virginia at TCU (-14.5)||WV +14.5||TCU 40-10|
|UCF at Cincinnati (-27.5)||Cincinnati -27.5||Cincinnati 52-7|
|USF at Navy (-7)||USF +7||Navy 29-17|
|Miami at Duke (-8)||Duke -8||Miami 30-27|
|Syracuse at FSU (-20.5)||Syracuse +20.5||FSU 45-21|
Hopefully how I’m feeling some Sunday *(Not how I’m feeling on 11/1, but that Miami game…)